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Global mining industry balancing environmental risk with increasing demand

Decarbonization driving growth in sector

乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 Global Mining Outlook 2022

Key Highlights:

  • 62% of respondents confident in the growth prospects for their organization over the next 12 months
  • More than 6 in 10 respondents agree that mining companies need to embrace new business models such as strategic partnerships, private equity and public-private partnerships
  • 72% of respondents expect disruption in the mining sector due to ESG in the next three years
  • Almost half (46%) of respondents expect major technological innovation to disrupt the mining industry in the next three years, while 84% believe technological disruption will be an opportunity versus a threat

A global shift towards decarbonization is continuing to drive growth and optimism in the world鈥檚 mining sector, according to 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 International鈥檚 Global Mining Outlook 2022.

The annual report, now in its 12th year, draws on the insight and experience of 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 professionals at member firms around the world, in addition to survey analysis from more than 300 sector executives in 23 key markets.

In the latest report, 62% of respondents revealed they were confident in the growth prospects for their organization over the next 24 months. While the figure is down slightly from last year鈥檚 survey (66%), it reaffirms that volatility in commodity pricing, combined with wider geopolitical and COVID-19 uncertainty, isn鈥檛 dampening optimism in the market. Despite significant fluctuations, commodity prices remain at near all-time highs, driven by enormous growth in demand for minerals, including lithium, cobalt and graphite 鈥� all essential components in the global decarbonization journey. 听

As the world鈥檚 supply chains look to meet rising demands, the mining industry finds itself increasingly in the spotlight, being challenged to quickly deliver the materials the world needs in a way that is acceptable to more and more stakeholders. In my view, transparency and high-quality engagement will be critical. For those who get it right, I believe the rewards will be significant.

Trevor Hart

Global Head of Mining,

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ESG increasingly recognized as top industry risk

While some of the impact from the COVID-19 pandemic has receded, it鈥檚 notable the top risks facing then mining industry continue to come from outside the sector, rather than within.

Commodity prices, permitting risks and access to reserves are still key issues for executives, but environmental and geopolitical factors are increasingly taking up boardroom time. The top-ranked risk identified by respondents was environmental risks, including new regulations. Last year, environmental, social and governance (ESG) only ranked fifth among top risks.

Following the climate commitments of COP26, it shouldn鈥檛 come as a surprise that almost three quarters (72%) of mining leaders questioned for the report anticipated that the wide array of ESG factors would create disruption in the industry over the next three years.

The sector faces increased scrutiny and investor pressure as the world looks to tackle the growing climate emergency, but for many leaders, a lack of clarity, inconsistencies in rules across different territories and ever-changing regulations could stymie otherwise optimistic growth prospects. More than half (55%) of respondents said they did not believe ESG issues were clearly understood and consistent across the market.

Increased stakeholder interested in ESG targets and rising investor expectations are signs that mining businesses are having to change their focus and make longer-term commitments they've not had to make in the past.

Katherine Wetmore

Partner,

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Despite the uncertainty, there are signs that industry leaders are using the current period of growth to reinvest and commit to a greener, more sustainable future.

To get to a 30% carbon reduction by 2030, we need to bring more renewables into our business. Doing that for our high carbon-emitting sites - converting them from wind to solar - will take us to that 30% target in combination with other efficiencies.

Ivan Mullany

Senior Vice-President of Projects,

Newmont Corporation

Embracing technological transformation

One important way of reducing carbon footprint is through the adoption of new technologies 鈥� with 87 percent of executives believing that technology has a key role to play in solving ESG challenges. Nearly half of executives (46 percent) believe that technological innovation will be a source of major disruption in the industry over the coming three years, and nearly everyone is determined to jump on this as an opportunity rather than a threat.

There is an opportunity for growth from embracing technology. You don't necessarily need to buy or find more ore. There's technology emerging now that is starting to let us reduce cut-off grades, for example, and produce more of what we already have and do that profitably.

Jeff Par

Vice Chairman,

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited

Mining companies are not well-known as technological disruptors. But there is a mandate now to invest more in technology to come up with solutions to the challenges of today - from ESG to productivity to ways of lowering costs.

Manuel Fernandes

Global Head of Mining,

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One striking note from this year鈥檚 research was the impact of COVID-19 completely disappearing from the top 10 risks identified by executives. The industry, like most others, has adapted to the 鈥渘ew norm鈥� from the pandemic, with some of the lasting effects remaining problematic for the sector, including increased global demand and supply chain issues. However, the world is now looking towards an economic recovery and has developed a growing acceptance that more chronic international issues, including ESG, need to be tackled more proactively.

For an industry that inherently operates over the long term, these shifts in a short space of time are striking. They underline the extent to which climate change-related issues and ESG more broadly are reframing corporate priorities in mining, as in almost every business sector. They also influence the attractiveness of the industry to the new and diverse talent it requires. ESG is becoming ever more top of mind in mining company boardrooms, but this doesn鈥檛 mean that other opportunities and risks have fallen away. Commodity prices will always be the commercial lynchpin of the industry鈥檚 fortunes 鈥� and with prices riding high, executives in this year鈥檚 survey are generally in a confident mood. The risk is more around price volatility, with some marked swings of late challenging established LME trading systems, with temporary suspension of nickel trading as a result. Political instability, nationalization and the global trade conflict threat have all become front-line factors too. The survey was carried out before the terrible events in Ukraine unfolded. I suspect that if we were to re-run it now, these risks would be appreciably higher still. From my observation, the opportunities for the industry are outstanding. The importance of the sector for the world鈥檚 future has been gaining more and more prominence and I believe it finds itself in such a strong position to deliver.

Trevor Hart

Global Head of Mining,

乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 International

The full report can be downloaded here.

For media queries, please contact:

Brian O鈥橬eill, Senior Manager, Global External Communications
T: +44 7823 668 689
E: Brian.O鈥橬eill@kpmg.co.uk听

About 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 International鈥檚 Global Mining Outlook 2022

The Global Mining Outlook 2022 provides deep insights into the current views of 301 mining executives from around the world. The latest research is part of 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网鈥檚 Global Mining Risk series, which offers a unique perspective into the evolving risks facing global mining organizations and the mining industry. In addition to this survey, which took place in January and February 2022, we also conducted qualitative interviews in March 2022.

The January/February 2022 survey included leaders from 23 key markets (Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Greece, Hong Kong (SAR), China, India, Japan, Luxemburg, Mexico, Norway, Panama, Peru, Portugal, Russia, South Africa, Sweden, the UK and the US) and three key mining sectors (producing mining companies, mining service providers, and exploration and development stage miners).

About 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 International

乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 is a global organization of independent professional services firms providing Audit, Tax and Advisory services. 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 is the brand under which the member firms of 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 International Limited (鈥溊钟悖↙eyu)体育官网 International鈥�) operate and provide professional services. 鈥溊钟悖↙eyu)体育官网鈥� is used to refer to individual member firms within the 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 organization or to one or more member firms collectively.

乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 firms operate in 145 countries and territories with more than 236,000 partners and employees working in member firms around the world. Each 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 firm is a legally distinct and separate entity and describes itself as such. Each 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 member firm is responsible for its own obligations and liabilities.

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Trevor Hart

Western Australian Chairman | Global Mining Leader | Partner, Audit and Assurance

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