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The following comments describe the potential impact of the announced tariffs coming into force without hindrance. It is important to note that the US agreed to a on 9 April and the EU on 10 April and suspended reciprocal tariffs during this period.

Trade tensions with an impact on supply chains and investments

International trade relations between the US and the EU are once again tense. In recent weeks, the US government has announced and partially implemented several far-reaching tariff measures that could potentially have a significant impact on European - and therefore German - companies in particular.

These measures and the countermeasures taken by other countries in this context require a high level of attention and not only affect the level of duties in the USA, but also have an impact on international supply chains.

Relevance of the US additional tariffs for German companies

The topic is highly relevant for German companies. Germany is one of the world's largest export nations - particularly in the areas of motor vehicles, machinery, chemical products and electrical engineering. Many of these exports traditionally go to the USA. Due to this export-orientated economy and the considerable trade surplus with the USA, Germany is particularly vulnerable to the current changes in customs duties.

The executive order signed by President Donald J. Trump, which provides for at least a general minimum import tariff of 10 per cent on all imports into the USA, further increases the uncertainties. The US administration also plans to increase tariffs for countries with high trade surpluses, such as Germany and the EU. The aim of these measures is to address existing trade deficits, create fairer competitive conditions in the US market and reduce dependence on foreign production.

These measures and their partial and temporary suspension and reinstatement are creating major uncertainties for German companies - both in the supply chain and for investments.

We summarise the current status and highlight steps that companies should consider when assessing and managing risk in the current environment.

Frachtschiff

Webcast-Live 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 Briefing : Realignment of the USA, Opportunities and Challenges - with Q&A

Monday, 26 May 2025, 16:00 - 17:00



Current developments

On June 3, 2025, the White House announced that President Trump had signed a proclamation raising import tariffs on steel and aluminum products to 50%. This measure, based on Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, went into effect on June 4, 2025.

The new tariffs apply only to the steel and aluminum portion of imported goods, while the non-steel and non-aluminum portion is subject to other tariffs. The proclamation also includes changes to the Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States (HTSUS) and mandates strict compliance with reporting requirements for steel and aluminum content.

For imports from the UK, tariffs will remain at 25% for the time being until possible adjustments are made under the US-UK trade agreement on July 9, 2025.

The USTR has determined that the exemptions under Section 301 - Investigation of China's Acts, Policies, and Practices Relating to Technology Transfer, Intellectual Property, and Innovation - should be extended. The exemptions were originally set to expire on 31 May 2025. Specifically, the USTR determined that a three-month extension of the 164 exemptions extended in May 2024 and the 14 exemptions granted in September 2024 is appropriate. The extensions apply to goods released for consumption or withdrawn from free circulation from 1 June 2025 to 31 August 2025.

On 29 May 2025, the US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit temporarily stayed an earlier decision by the US Court of International Trade (CIT). This decision had found that the tariffs imposed worldwide by the Trump administration using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) did not fulfil the legal requirements of an "unusual and extraordinary threat". Moreover, the IEEPA tariffs against Canada, Mexico and China were not aimed at the underlying emergencies. The CIT had also emphasised that the primary authority to impose tariffs lies with Congress. Now that the CIT decision has been stayed by the Court of Appeals, the IEEPA duties are temporarily reinstated and will remain in place pending the outcome of the appeal.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection has published a notice of implementation of tariff changes under Executive Order 14289 to eliminate overlapping and past addition of duties on certain imported articles.

Effective 16 May 2025, the Harmonised Tariff Schedule of the United States (HTSUS) will be amended for the affected articles. The amendments provide for prioritisation of tariff measures to prevent overlap.

The notice also specifies the conditions under which goods receiving preferential treatment under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will be exempt from certain additional duties. In addition, importers can apply for a refund of duties paid that are not required under the new regulation.

The governments of the United States and China issued a joint statement today following the negotiation of a trade agreement aimed at reducing tariffs and eliminating retaliatory measures. According to a White House fact sheet, the agreement provides that by 14 May 2025, both countries will suspend their 34% tariffs announced in April 2025 for 90 days, while maintaining a 10% tariff during that time, and remove additional tariffs and other retaliatory measures imposed later in April 2025. Following the entry into force of these changes, both countries have agreed to create a mechanism to continue important discussions on trade and economics.

The White House announced that a trade agreement has been reached between the US and the UK in which the first 100,000 vehicles imported annually from UK manufacturers will be subject to a 10% tariff, while additional vehicles will be subject to a 25% tariff, and alternative arrangements to the Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminium will be negotiated. The Economic Prosperity Deal (EPD) aims to remove barriers to trade, strengthen economic exchange and reduce tariffs, particularly on beef and pharmaceuticals, while also focussing on digital trade, economic security and intellectual property rights. The agreement comes into force immediately, but is not legally binding and will be expanded over time.

On 29 April 2025, the White House issued a proclamation from President Trump regarding the adjustment of tariffs on imports of automotive components into the United States. According to a White House fact sheet, the proclamation offers offsets for a portion of the tariffs on vehicles assembled in the US.

Manufacturers will receive tariff offsets in the following amounts:

  • From 3 April 2025 to 30 April 2026: Compensation equal to 3.75% of the manufacturer's suggested retail price (MSRP) for vehicles produced in the US. This is the total amount of duty that would be due if a 25% duty were applied to parts representing 15% of a vehicle's MSRP.
  • From 1 May 2026 to 30 April 2027: A countervailing duty of 2.5% of the MSRP of U.S. production, which is the total amount of duty that would be due if a 25% duty were applied to parts representing 10% of a vehicle's MSRP.

The proclamation provides that the Secretary of Commerce will establish a process within 30 days for manufacturers to apply for an import adjustment offset.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) has announced new tariff rules for imports from China and Hong Kong. As of 2 May 2025, the de minimis rule will be suspended for products from China with a value of up to USD 800. New duties include either a 120% ad valorem duty or a specific duty of USD 100 per mail item, which will be increased to USD 200 from 1 June 2025. All goods sent via the international postal network will be affected. These measures follow the national state of emergency declared on 20 January 2025 due to the threat of illegal drugs and immigration. The state of emergency has been extended to take into account China's failure to control suppliers of chemical precursors. Companies should prepare for increased import costs and adjust their logistics strategies accordingly.

Following the suspension of reciprocal US tariffs against the EU and the reduction of these tariffs to 10% for a period of 90 days, the European Union (EU) has also decided to suspend its countermeasures against US trade tariffs for 90 days in order to gain time for negotiations.

Suspension of additional duties for certain electronic devices originating in China

Reciprocal tariffs largely reduced to a minimum tariff of 10%

Increase in the tariff rate for trade surpluses: For countries that have a particularly high trade surplus with the United States, an individual, increased tariff rate will be introduced from 9 April. The specific list of countries affected and the corresponding tariffs are set out in of the Executive Order. The additional duty for all exports from the EU to the USA is therefore 20 per cent.

US content rule and exemptions: The new Executive Order provides for exemptions for goods shipped before 5 April 2025. In addition, a "US content rule" will be introduced, which states that duties will only be levied on the non-US portion of a product if at least 20 per cent of the value of the product originates from the USA. This rule is intended to ensure that multinational supply chains with a substantial proportion of US components receive preferential treatment.

The above measures should be seen separately from the tariffs previously imposed by the US on Canada, Mexico and China, which led to these countries announcing countermeasures.

Introduction of a minimum tariff: A new US Executive Order of 2 April 2025 significantly expands the previous measures by introducing a general minimum tariff of 10 percent on all imports, regardless of product category and country of shipment. This represents a significant tightening of the previous tariffs as a wider range of products are affected.

Publication of an executive order: On 26 March 2025, President Trump publishes a new executive order announcing a 25 percent tariff on US imports of motor vehicles and motor vehicle parts.

  • From 3 April 2025, the 25 percent tariff is to apply to vehicles imported into the USA and
  • is expected to be extended to vehicle components (such as engines, powertrains, electrical components) on 3 May 2025.

With respect to the previously announced tariffs of 25 percent on motor vehicles and motor vehicle parts and steel and aluminium products, the latest regulation does not make any changes to the tariffs. However, specific exemptions and adjustments are introduced that aim to mitigate the impact on certain product categories. In particular, the introduction of the "US content rule" offers companies whose products contain a significant proportion of US components the opportunity to apply the tariffs only to the non-US content of origin.

In addition to these steel and aluminium products, which are already subject to Section 232 tariffs, motor vehicles and parts, which have been subject to a 25 percent tariff since 3 April, are also exempt from the additional tariffs. Other exemptions include pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, energy products and critical minerals, as well as humanitarian relief goods. A detailed list of these exemptions can be found in of the above-mentioned Executive Order.

Imposition of tariffs: On 12 March 2025, the US will impose additional tariffs on imports of steel and aluminium from all countries into the US, including products that may contain steel or aluminium. Specifically, the measures will lead to:

  • Re-impose a 25 per cent tariff on steel products and products made from them (e.g. steel pipe, wire and tin foil) and terminate all previous country agreements.
  • Raising the tariff from 10 percent to 25 percent for aluminium and increasing the tariff for other steel and aluminium products.

The tariffs affect a wide range of products, including cookware, window frames, machinery, certain electrical appliances and furniture. These measures were first announced by the US on 12 February 2025 and will affect EU exports to the US worth around 鈧�26 billion (5 percent of total EU goods exports to the US).

EU response: The EU is responding by announcing that the countermeasures originally introduced against the US in 2018 and 2020, but then suspended, will be reinstated with effect from 1 April 2025. However, the EU is postponing the date of reinstatement until mid-April. These measures were taken in response to the steel and aluminium tariffs introduced during Donald Trump's first term in office, but were then suspended when the US agreed to suspend its measures against EU exporters within a certain quota.

The EU countermeasures mean that

  • the EU imposing additional tariffs on a range of US imports, including Harley-Davidson motorbikes, bourbon, orange juice, jeans, steel and aluminium.
  • A two-week consultation will be launched to identify additional US products to be subject to new EU tariffs. It is expected that these new tariffs will be introduced by mid-April.

The products proposed to be affected include a combination of industrial and agricultural products (steel and aluminium products, textiles, leather goods, household appliances, tools, plastics, wood products, poultry, beef, certain seafood, nuts, eggs, dairy products, sugar and vegetables).



Dealing with US tariffs and counter duties (in German)

By using short and long-term strategies to reduce tariffs, companies can optimise their customs duties and promote supply chain resilience while strengthening their competitiveness in the global market.





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International trade policy in focus: tariffs, conflicts and corporate strategies

General customs duties in the EU and the USA

The weighted average tariff rate in the EU and the USA is around 1 per cent. While most goods are subject to a duty rate of 0 per cent, there are significant duties in certain categories:

  Product category   EU duty rate   USA duty rate
 Motor vehiclea  10 %  2,5 %
 Dairy products  30 %  17 %
 Petroleum products   2,5 %  6,5 %

 

It is important to note that these are only high-level examples and the exact specification of a product is required to determine the applicable duty rate. The EU and the US have free trade agreements with many countries around the world (e.g. the EU with the UK, Canada, Japan and South Korea; the US with Mexico and Canada). However, no such agreement exists between the EU and the USA.

Therefore, importers to the EU cannot claim preferential tariffs (typically 0 per cent) on US products, just as importers to the US cannot claim preferential tariffs on EU products.

Additional duties: Not all goods affected

Additional duties do not automatically apply to all goods traded between the EU and the USA. The decisive factor is the origin of the goods - this determines whether an additional duty is levied.

The USA provides for both sector-specific additional tariffs and so-called reciprocal tariffs, which are linked to the country of origin of the goods concerned.

The determination of origin is based on where a product was last substantially processed or treated. It is often complex and should be examined carefully.

Effects on Germany

The EU's trade in goods with the USA accounted for 17 per cent (EUR 865.0 billion) of the EU's total foreign trade turnover (imports and exports) in 2024.

Of this amount

  • 161.4 billion euros were exports from Germany and
  • 91.5 billion euros to imports to Germany.

Due to this high trade surplus (69.9 billion euros) in goods, Germany, among others, is the focus of President Trump's administration. As Germany's export economy is mainly driven by motor vehicles and parts, machinery and chemical products, these sectors are particularly - but not exclusively - affected by potential US tariffs and non-tariff measures.

However, the US government considers value-added tax (VAT) to be a form of customs duty. This could mean that even goods that are subject to little or no customs duty when imported into the EU (e.g. pharmaceuticals and electronics) could be subject to high customs duties when exported to the USA.

In addition, the EU's countermeasures mean that many German companies will have to expect higher costs. In view of the more comprehensive US measures, particularly against China, Mexico and Canada, and the risk of a further escalation of the trade dispute in the near future, it is crucial for companies to precisely understand the impact of the measures and closely monitor developments.

Possible development of the trade conflict

The situation is dynamic and changes almost daily. However, a pattern is emerging: the USA announces measures, suspends some, but at the same time threatens more.

The US has recently declared a national emergency based on large and persistent annual trade deficits in goods that are seen as a threat to national security and the economy.

German companies should be aware that the tariff dispute could also impact supply chains outside of EU/US trade. As the US imposes new tariffs on goods imported into the US from other countries around the world, manufacturers from these countries will be looking for new markets to sell their goods.

The risk is that foreign manufacturers, such as Chinese producers, will focus on the EU market, which in turn could prompt the EU to introduce measures to protect EU manufacturers. As a result, companies that currently pay no or only low customs duties on the import of goods from third countries into the EU could find that these duties also increase as a result of potential EU protection measures.

Possible courses of action for companies

As a first step, we recommend that companies gain a complete and detailed understanding of their supply chain. They should be aware of which suppliers they source what type of products from, which country these products come from and how possible measures could affect purchases and sales.

We have developed a tool that can provide a detailed insight into your flow of goods based on your customs data - click here for more information.

Recommended steps for risk assessment and minimisation:

1. Analysis trade and customs data

Query and analyse customs data to understand the supply chain and assess potential customs effects on purchases and sales.

2. Review of supply contracts

Determine whether contracts contain price change clauses for increased customs duties or stipulate an exclusive business relationship.

3. Evaluation of goods classification and origin

Determining the correct classification of goods and origin in order to check whether goods can be exempted from possible customs measures.

4. Creation of "what-if" scenarios

Quantify the customs impact under different scenarios, including stock build-up, change of suppliers, verification of origin or classification of goods.

5. Reduction of the customs value

Elimination of non-dutiable amounts, utilisation of the "First Sale for Export" for the USA, adjustment of transfer prices.

6. Establishment of duty suspension arrangements

Utilisation of bonded warehouses, duty drawback (USA), free trade zones (USA) and inward processing (EU) to reduce or avoid customs duties.

7. Monitoring developments outside the EU

Risk of EU countermeasures against a market glut that could affect imports, as well as reciprocal measures by affected countries that could affect exports.

How can 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 help?

With a team of over 800 customs consultants worldwide, 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 helps companies to effectively manage the uncertainties created by the new US tariffs and EU countermeasures. A holistic approach is used that aims to minimise risks while identifying and exploiting opportunities within global supply chains. Support is provided through the following measures, among others:

  • Analysing trade/customs data to gain transparency on the supply chain as well as risks and opportunities.
  • Using our customs tools to model the impact of customs measures on companies.
  • Quantify customs scenarios and costs under different "what-if" conditions.
  • Identify opportunities to utilise bonded warehouses, inward processing, free trade zones and drawback to achieve savings.
  • Review tariff classification and origin to avoid or minimise potential duty increases.
  • Review valuation methods to reduce customs valuation bases.
  • Continuously monitor developments to stay informed of the current situation.

For further information on the impact of current customs measures on your company and the resulting strategic options for action, Mario Urso and the Trade & Customs team at 乐鱼(Leyu)体育官网 will be happy to provide you with in-depth expertise, tried-and-tested tools and customised solutions for a personal consultation.

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